Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001917 0.002007 0.002101 0.002208 0.002324 0.002449 0.002595
2025-05-25 0.001758 0.001882 0.002018 0.002179 0.002366 0.002579 0.002844
2025-06-01 0.001638 0.001781 0.001943 0.002142 0.002384 0.002674 0.003057
2025-06-08 0.001583 0.001746 0.001936 0.002177 0.002482 0.002868 0.003413
2025-06-15 0.001531 0.001708 0.001919 0.002194 0.002556 0.003035 0.003755
2025-06-22 0.001468 0.001652 0.001874 0.002170 0.002571 0.003121 0.003994
2025-06-29 0.001409 0.001596 0.001825 0.002136 0.002566 0.003175 0.004189
2025-07-06 0.001365 0.001556 0.001792 0.002119 0.002582 0.003259 0.004445
2025-07-13 0.001298 0.001484 0.001715 0.002037 0.002499 0.003184 0.004412
2025-07-20 0.001267 0.001455 0.001693 0.002029 0.002519 0.003269 0.004681
2025-07-27 0.001248 0.001441 0.001689 0.002044 0.002575 0.003415 0.005096
2025-08-03 0.001219 0.001414 0.001665 0.002030 0.002585 0.003487 0.005379
2025-08-10 0.001204 0.001405 0.001666 0.002053 0.002656 0.003676 0.005982
2025-08-17 0.001179 0.001381 0.001647 0.002045 0.002677 0.003778 0.006424
2025-08-24 0.001150 0.001351 0.001617 0.002019 0.002666 0.003821 0.006735
2025-08-31 0.001142 0.001348 0.001626 0.002052 0.002757 0.004071 0.007742
2025-09-07 0.001129 0.001339 0.001624 0.002068 0.002820 0.004276 0.008762
2025-09-14 0.001105 0.001314 0.001600 0.002048 0.002815 0.004338 0.009326
2025-09-21 0.001080 0.001287 0.001570 0.002017 0.002790 0.004351 0.009716
2025-09-28 0.001061 0.001267 0.001551 0.002002 0.002793 0.004429 0.010451
2025-10-05 0.001025 0.001223 0.001496 0.001928 0.002683 0.004233 0.009813
2025-10-12 0.001010 0.001208 0.001482 0.001921 0.002695 0.004326 0.010645
2025-10-19 0.001002 0.001203 0.001482 0.001934 0.002748 0.004525 0.012280